# Top Chinese AI company this month: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Top Chinese AI company this month". Xiaomi leads at 65%. Next is Alibaba at 22.2%. $1K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 30, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-12T22:49:25Z (12 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 30, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: ai_tech

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Xiaomi | 65% | 79% |
| Alibaba | 22.2% | 27% |
| Moonshot | 3.3% | 4% |
| DeepSeek | 2.5% | 3% |
| Baidu | 1.7% | 2% |
| Tencent | 1.7% | 2% |
| Z.ai | 1.6% | 2% |
| MiniMax | 1.2% | 1.5% |
| ByteDance | 0.8% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)](https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/top-chinese-ai-company-this-month-2
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxchinaai?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/top-chinese-ai-company-this-month-2

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.