# Top Spotify Artist in November?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Top Spotify Artist in November?". DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS leads at 92%. Next is Drake at 36.2%. $3.2M has traded across 39 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 30, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T01:26:36Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 30, 2026
- Volume traded: $3.2M
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS | 92% | — | 92% | not on both |
| Drake | 36.2% | 0.4% | 85% | — |
| Bad Bunny | 30.9% | 0.5% | 3% | — |
| Bruno Mars | 26.5% | 97.9% | 4% | — |
| ARIRANG | 6% | — | 6% | not on both |
| Taylor Swift | 5.8% | 0.1% | 12% | — |
| you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love | 5% | — | 5% | not on both |
| The Great Divide: The Last Of The Bugs | 2.5% | — | 2.5% | not on both |
| petal | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| BTS | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Chappell Roan | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Dandelion | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| DINASTÍA | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Djo | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Ella Langley | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Harry Styles | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Iceman | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Kanye West / Ye | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Kendrick Lamar | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| KPop Demon Hunters (Soundtrack from the Netflix Film) | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Morgan Wallen | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| The Art of Loving | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| The Great Divide | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| The Life of a Showgirl | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| The Romantic | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Zach Bryan | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Beyoncé | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| The Weeknd | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1% | — |
| Michael Jackson | 0.5% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| Ariana Grande | 0.4% | 0.4% | — | not on both |
| Billie Eilish | 0.4% | 0.4% | — | not on both |
| Coldplay | 0.4% | 0.4% | — | not on both |
| Justin Bieber | 0.4% | 0.4% | — | not on both |
| Lady Gaga | 0.4% | 0.4% | — | not on both |
| Rihanna | 0.2% | 0.2% | — | not on both |
| Ed Sheeran | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Shakira | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Spotify](https://newsroom.spotify.com/).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total.

In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data.

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.

This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/top-spotify-artist-in-november
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/top-spotify-artist-in-november-20261130?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopalbumspotify?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/top-spotify-artist-in-november

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.