# Total commitments for the Mori Finance public sale on MetaDAO: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Total commitments for the Mori Finance public sale on MetaDAO". 1M leads at 97.5%. Next is 5M at 95.3%. $22K has traded across 6 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T15:14:20Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 1, 2026
- Volume traded: $22K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: crypto

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 1M | 97.5% | 97.5% |
| 5M | 95.3% | 95.3% |
| 10M | 82% | 82% |
| 20M | 59.5% | 59.5% |
| 30M | 27.5% | 27.5% |
| 40M | 12% | 12% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [metadao.fi](https://metadao.fi/companies/mori-finance).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the Mori Finance raise on MetaDAO exceed the value specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the "committed" figure displayed on the official Mori Finance raise page on MetaDAO, currently https://metadao.fi/companies/mori-finance. Commitments in USDC are counted at face value as US dollars. If the displayed figure exceeds the specified value at any point before the raise closes and before November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No" once the raise closes or on November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. A value exactly equal to the specified value will resolve to "No". If the figure on the raise page is unavailable, official announcements from MetaDAO (https://x.com/MetaDAOProject) or Mori Finance (https://x.com/morifinance_) may be used; if no official figure is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. If the sale is on hold and no commitment total is verifiable by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is otherwise cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market resolves to "No". If requisite information for this market's resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

If the sale begins and is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period through November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will count toward resolution.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/total-commitments-for-the-mori-finance-public-sale-on-metadao
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-mori-finance-public-sale-on-metadao?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/total-commitments-for-the-mori-finance-public-sale-on-metadao

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.