# Total space launches in November: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Total space launches in November". Above 9 leads at 87%. Next is Above 10 at 64%. $1K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 2, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:05:00Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 2, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above 9 | 87% | 87% |
| Above 10 | 64% | 64% |
| Above 11 | 44% | 44% |
| Above 12 | 23% | 23% |
| Above 13 | 8% | 8% |
| Above 14 | 4% | 4% |
| Above 20 | 4% | 4% |
| Above 15 | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Above 16 | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Above 17 | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Above 18 | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Above 19 | 2.5% | 2.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Federal Aviation Administration](https://www.faa.gov), [Launch Operators](https://www.spacex.com/launches).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/total-space-launches-in-november
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlaunches?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/total-space-launches-in-november

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.