# Toyama Grouses vs. Osaka Evessa: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Toyama Grouses vs. Osaka Evessa". Toyama Grouses leads at 86%. Next is Yes at 86%. $5K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 19, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-11T15:43:05Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 19, 2026
- Volume traded: $5K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Toyama Grouses | 86% | — | 86% | not on both |
| Yes | 86% | 86% | — | not on both |
| Osaka Evessa | 14% | — | 14% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [bleague.jp](https://www.bleague.jp/en/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Sofascore](https://www.sofascore.com/basketball/tournament/japan/bleague/1502#id:77915), [Flashscore](https://www.flashscore.com/basketball/japan/b-league/#/0CsKaLp1/standings/overall/).

## Settlement rules

In the upcoming Japan B League game between Toyama Grouses and Osaka Evessa, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 5:05 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
If the Toyama Grouses win, the market will resolve to "Toyama Grouses".
If the Osaka Evessa win, the market will resolve to "Osaka Evessa".
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/toyama-grouses-vs-osaka-evessa-2
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bkjpn-toy-osa-2026-11-12?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxjbleaguegame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/toyama-grouses-vs-osaka-evessa-2

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.