# Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/16 - 11/22): prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/16 - 11/22)". Above 180 leads at 94%. Next is Above 185 at 91%. $196K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 24, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T05:21:41Z (13 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 24, 2026
- Volume traded: $196K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Above 180 | 94% | — | 94% | not on both |
| Above 185 | 91% | — | 91% | not on both |
| Above 190 | 67% | — | 67% | not on both |
| Above 195 | 47% | — | 47% | not on both |
| Above 200 | 37% | — | 37% | not on both |
| Above 205 | 11% | — | 11% | not on both |
| Above 210 | 8% | — | 8% | not on both |
| December 31 | 7% | 7% | — | not on both |
| Above 215 | 6.5% | — | 6.5% | not on both |
| Above 220 | 4% | — | 4% | not on both |
| November 30 | 2.7% | 2.7% | — | not on both |
| Yes | 1.9% | 1.9% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [IMF PortWatch](https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint2).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/traffic-through-the-panama-canal-1116-1122
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/panama-canal-effectively-closed-byptptpt?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpanamaweekly?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/traffic-through-the-panama-canal-1116-1122

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.