# Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/2 - 11/8): prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)". Above 170 leads at 95%. Next is Above 180 at 89%. $237K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 10, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:06:00Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 10, 2026
- Volume traded: $237K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Above 170 | 95% | — | 95% | not on both |
| Above 180 | 89% | — | 89% | not on both |
| Above 185 | 72% | — | 72% | not on both |
| Above 190 | 59% | — | 59% | not on both |
| Above 195 | 48% | — | 48% | not on both |
| Above 200 | 20% | — | 20% | not on both |
| Above 205 | 4% | — | 4% | not on both |
| Above 210 | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| Yes | 2.7% | 2.7% | — | not on both |
| Above 220 | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [IMF PortWatch](https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint2).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/traffic-through-the-panama-canal-112-118
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/us-takes-panama-canal-before-2027?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpanamaweekly?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/traffic-through-the-panama-canal-112-118

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.