# Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/16 - 11/22): prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/16 - 11/22)". Above 280 leads at 96%. Next is Above 290 at 90%. $16K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 24, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T05:21:41Z (13 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 24, 2026
- Volume traded: $16K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above 280 | 96% | 96% |
| Above 290 | 90% | 90% |
| Above 300 | 85% | 85% |
| Above 310 | 70% | 70% |
| Above 320 | 46% | 46% |
| Above 330 | 31% | 31% |
| Above 340 | 25% | 25% |
| Above 350 | 9% | 9% |
| Above 360 | 6% | 6% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [IMF PortWatch](https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint1).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/traffic-through-the-suez-canal-1116-1122
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsuezweekly?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/traffic-through-the-suez-canal-1116-1122

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.
