# UEFA Nations League: Group A3 Winner: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "UEFA Nations League: Group A3 Winner". Spain leads at 79%. Next is Czechia at 29%. $17K has traded across 4 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 2, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T05:19:52Z (15 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 2, 2026
- Volume traded: $17K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Spain | 79% | 80% | 76% | 4.0 pts |
| Czechia | 29% | — | 29% | not on both |
| England | 21.5% | 18% | 32% | 14.0 pts |
| Croatia | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://espn.com), [UEFA](https://www.uefa.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/uefa-nations-league-group-a3-winner
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/uefa-nations-league-2026-27-group-a3-winner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxuefanlgroupwin?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/uefa-nations-league-group-a3-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.