# UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card): prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)". Ciryl Gane leads at 68%. Next is Fight won by KO/TKO? at 58.5%. $169K has traded across 28 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 15, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:22:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 15, 2026
- Volume traded: $169K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Ciryl Gane | 68% | — | 68% | not on both |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 58.5% | 58.5% | — | not on both |
| Decision or Draw | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 2? | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 3? | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 4? | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 5? | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by decision? | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by submission? | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Gane in Round 1 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Gane in Round 2 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Gane in Round 3 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Gane in Round 4 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Gane in Round 5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Gane to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Hokit in Round 1 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Hokit in Round 2 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Hokit in Round 3 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Hokit in Round 4 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Hokit in Round 5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Hokit to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Josh Hokit | 32.4% | 30.5% | 33% | 2.5 pts |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [ufc.com](https://www.ufc.com/events).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [DAZN](https://www.dazn.com/en-US), [Tapology](https://www.tapology.com/).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to "Josh Hokit" if Josh Hokit is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ciryl Gane at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026.

It will resolve to "Ciryl Gane" if Ciryl Gane is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/ufc-334-josh-hokit-vs-ciryl-gane-heavyweight-main-card
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-jos52-cir-2026-11-14?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcfight?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/ufc-334-josh-hokit-vs-ciryl-gane-heavyweight-main-card

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.