# UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card): prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)". Decision or Draw leads at 50%. Next is Ends before Round 2? at 50%. $1K has traded across 19 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T05:22:31Z (14 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 22, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Decision or Draw | 50% | 50% |
| Ends before Round 2? | 50% | 50% |
| Ends before Round 3? | 50% | 50% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50% | 50% |
| Fight won by decision? | 50% | 50% |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | 50% |
| Fight won by submission? | 50% | 50% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 50% | 50% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 50% | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | 50% |
| Sterling in Round 1 | 50% | 50% |
| Sterling in Round 2 | 50% | 50% |
| Sterling in Round 3 | 50% | 50% |
| Sterling to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | 50% |
| Vallejos in Round 1 | 50% | 50% |
| Vallejos in Round 2 | 50% | 50% |
| Vallejos in Round 3 | 50% | 50% |
| Vallejos to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | 50% |
| Aljamain Sterling vs. Kevin Vallejos | 46.5% | 46.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [ufc.com](https://www.ufc.com/events).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to "Aljamain Sterling" if Aljamain Sterling is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kevin Vallejos at UFC Fight Night: Procházka vs. Stirling, scheduled for November 21, 2026.

It will resolve to "Kevin Vallejos" if Kevin Vallejos is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/ufc-fight-night-aljamain-sterling-vs-kevin-vallejos-featherweight-main-card
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-alj-kev16-2026-11-21?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/ufc-fight-night-aljamain-sterling-vs-kevin-vallejos-featherweight-main-card

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.