# UFC: Who Will Sean O'Malley Fight Next?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "UFC: Who Will Sean O'Malley Fight Next?". Petr Yan leads at 80%. Next is Payton Talbott at 31.1%. $7K has traded across 19 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 28, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-10T12:47:05Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Oct 28, 2027
- Volume traded: $7K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Petr Yan | 80% | 77% | 81% | 4.0 pts |
| Payton Talbott | 31.1% | 13.5% | 37% | 23.5 pts |
| Merab Dvalishvili | 5.9% | 2.6% | 7% | 4.4 pts |
| Umar Nurmagomedov | 5.4% | 4.2% | 8% | 3.8 pts |
| Cory Sandhagen | 5.2% | 3.8% | 8% | 4.3 pts |
| Song Yadong | 4.5% | 0.1% | 8% | 8.0 pts |
| Mario Bautista | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2% | 2.2 pts |
| Aiemann Zahabi | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| David Martinez | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Deiveson Figueiredo | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Marcus McGhee | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Marlon Vera | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Montel Jackson | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Raul Rosas Jr. | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Rob Font | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Adrian Yanez | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Bryce Mitchell | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Charles Jourdain | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Kyler Phillips | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://espn.com), [the Governing League](https://www.ufc.com/).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Sean O'Malley is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Sean O'Malley is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by October 27, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/ufc-who-will-sean-omalley-fight-next
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-sean-omalley-next-fight?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmmafightnext?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/ufc-who-will-sean-omalley-fight-next

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.