# UK retail sales in October: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "UK retail sales in October". Above -1.5% leads at 93%. Next is Above -1.0% at 91%. $18K has traded across 8 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 20, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:10:00Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 20, 2026
- Volume traded: $18K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above -1.5% | 93% | 93% |
| Above -1.0% | 91% | 91% |
| Above -0.5% | 77% | 77% |
| Above 0.0% | 63% | 63% |
| Above 0.5% | 39% | 39% |
| Above 1.0% | 34% | 34% |
| Above 1.5% | 16% | 16% |
| Above 2.0% | 9% | 9% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Trading Economics](https://tradingeconomics.com/united-kingdom/retail-sales).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/uk-retail-sales-in-october
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukretail?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/uk-retail-sales-in-october

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.