# United Airlines passengers in Q1 2027: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "United Airlines passengers in Q1 2027". Above 42.5 million leads at 85%. Next is Above 43 million at 67.5%. $2K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Aug 18, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:14:00Z (5 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Aug 18, 2027
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above 42.5 million | 85% | 85% |
| Above 43 million | 67.5% | 67.5% |
| Above 43.5 million | 65% | 65% |
| Above 42 million | 57% | 57% |
| Above 41.5 million | 56% | 56% |
| Above 44 million | 48.5% | 48.5% |
| Above 44.5 million | 35% | 35% |
| Above 45.5 million | 6% | 6% |
| Above 46 million | 5% | 5% |
| Above 45 million | 5% | 5% |
| Above 46.5 million | 3% | 3% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Fiscal.ai](https://fiscal.ai).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/united-airlines-passengers-in-q1-2027
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxual?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/united-airlines-passengers-in-q1-2027

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.