# US corn yield in the January 2027 USDA report: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "US corn yield in the January 2027 USDA report". Below 181.2 bu/acre leads at 53.8%. Next is Above 181.2 bu/acre at 45.2%. $1K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 12, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T22:43:03Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 12, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Below 181.2 bu/acre | 53.8% | 56% |
| Above 181.2 bu/acre | 45.2% | 47% |
| Exactly 181.2 bu/acre | 1% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [U.S. Department of Agriculture](https://www.usda.gov/about-usda/general-information/staff-offices/office-chief-economist/commodity-markets/wasde-report).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/us-corn-yield-in-the-january-2027-usda-report
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxuscornyield?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/us-corn-yield-in-the-january-2027-usda-report

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.