# US electricity price in November: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "US electricity price in November". Above 18.2¢ leads at 99%. Next is Above 18.4¢ at 96.5%. $6K has traded across 17 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 10, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T05:17:41Z (17 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 10, 2026
- Volume traded: $6K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Above 18.2¢ | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Above 18.4¢ | 96.5% | — | 96.5% | not on both |
| Above 18.6¢ | 87% | — | 87% | not on both |
| Above 18.8¢ | 41% | — | 41% | not on both |
| 2.30-2.40 | 36.5% | 36.5% | — | not on both |
| 2.40-2.50 | 29.5% | 29.5% | — | not on both |
| 2.20-2.30 | 15.5% | 15.5% | — | not on both |
| 2.50-2.60 | 12.2% | 12.2% | — | not on both |
| Above 19.0¢ | 9.5% | — | 9.5% | not on both |
| Above 19.2¢ | 7% | — | 7% | not on both |
| 2.60-2.70 | 4.4% | 4.4% | — | not on both |
| 2.80 or more | 4.3% | 4.3% | — | not on both |
| Above 19.4¢ | 4% | — | 4% | not on both |
| 2.00-2.10 | 4% | 4% | — | not on both |
| 2.10-2.20 | 2.5% | 2.5% | — | not on both |
| Less than $2.00 | 2.3% | 2.3% | — | not on both |
| 2.70-2.80 | 1.2% | 1.2% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [FRED](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU000072610).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/us-electricity-price-in-november
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/price-of-dozen-eggs-in-november-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpowerkwh?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/us-electricity-price-in-november

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.