# US Leading Economic Index change in October: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "US Leading Economic Index change in October". Above -0.4% leads at 99%. Next is Above -0.3% at 79%. $5K has traded across 8 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 19, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:11:00Z (3 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 19, 2026
- Volume traded: $5K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above -0.4% | 99% | 99% |
| Above -0.3% | 79% | 79% |
| Above -0.2% | 55% | 55% |
| Above -0.1% | 53% | 53% |
| Above 0.0% | 34% | 34% |
| Above 0.1% | 20.5% | 20.5% |
| Above 0.2% | 14% | 14% |
| Above 0.3% | 3% | 3% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [The Conference Board](https://www.conference-board.org/topics/us-leading-indicators/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/us-leading-economic-index-change-in-october
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxuslei?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/us-leading-economic-index-change-in-october

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.