# US new home · Sales in October: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "US new home · Sales in October". Above 600,000 leads at 81%. Next is Above 620,000 at 66%. $8K has traded across 8 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 25, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:13:11Z (58 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 25, 2026
- Volume traded: $8K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above 600,000 | 81% | 81% |
| Above 620,000 | 66% | 66% |
| Above 640,000 | 56% | 56% |
| Above 660,000 | 46% | 46% |
| Above 680,000 | 26% | 26% |
| Above 700,000 | 18% | 18% |
| Above 720,000 | 11% | 11% |
| Above 740,000 | 6% | 6% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Trading Economics](https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/new-home-sales).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/us-new-home-sales-in-october
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnhsales?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/us-new-home-sales-in-october

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.