# USC vs Indiana: Spread: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "USC vs Indiana: Spread". O/U 39.5 leads at 73%. Next is Indiana wins by over 1.5 points at 68.5%. $4K has traded across 201 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-08T20:50:13Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 16, 2026
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| O/U 39.5 | 73% | 73% | — | not on both |
| Indiana wins by over 1.5 points | 68.5% | — | 68.5% | not on both |
| Spread: Indiana (-1.5) | 68% | 68% | — | not on both |
| Indiana wins by over 2.5 points | 67% | — | 67% | not on both |
| Spread: Indiana (-2.5) | 66% | 66% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Indiana (-3.5) | 62.5% | 62.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 45.5 | 59.5% | 59.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Indiana (-4.5) | 58% | 58% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Indiana (-5.5) | 58% | 58% | — | not on both |
| Indiana wins by over 4.5 points | 57% | — | 57% | not on both |
| Spread: Indiana (-6.5) | 56.5% | 56.5% | — | not on both |
| Indiana wins by over 3.5 points | 54% | — | 54% | not on both |
| Indiana wins by over 6.5 points | 53% | — | 53% | not on both |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Indiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Indiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Indiana O/U 23.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Indiana O/U 26.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Indiana O/U 29.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Indiana O/U 32.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Indiana O/U 35.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Indiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 201 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [ncaa.com](https://www.ncaa.com/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA](https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/usc-vs-indiana-spread
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-usc-ind-2026-11-14?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/usc-vs-indiana-spread

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.