# VA-02 House election: Elaine Luria vote percent: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "VA-02 House election: Elaine Luria vote percent". At least 44% leads at 99%. Next is At least 52% at 97%. $1K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:22:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| At least 44% | 99% | 99% |
| At least 52% | 97% | 97% |
| At least 46% | 56% | 56% |
| At least 54% | 56% | 56% |
| At least 48% | 55.5% | 55.5% |
| At least 50% | 55% | 55% |
| At least 53% | 53.5% | 53.5% |
| At least 56% | 15% | 15% |
| At least 58% | 7% | 7% |
| At least 60% | 7% | 7% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [State Board of Elections, Richmond, VA](https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/va-02-house-election-elaine-luria-vote-percent
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/va-02-house-election-elaine-luria-vote-percent

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.