# Valencia vs Real Madrid: Spread: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Valencia vs Real Madrid: Spread". O/U 0.5 leads at 96.5%. Next is Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5 at 92.5%. $81K has traded across 112 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 9, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:59:00Z (2 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 9, 2026
- Volume traded: $81K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| O/U 0.5 | 96.5% | 96.5% | — | not on both |
| Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5 | 92.5% | 92.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 1.5 | 86% | 86% | — | not on both |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 78.5% | 78.5% | — | not on both |
| Real Madrid CF | 74.5% | 74.5% | — | not on both |
| Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5 | 73% | 73% | — | not on both |
| O/U 2.5 | 67% | 67% | — | not on both |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 59% | 59% | — | not on both |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 58.5% | 58.5% | — | not on both |
| Real Madrid CF 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 58.5% | 58.5% | — | not on both |
| Valencia CF O/U 0.5 | 57.5% | 57.5% | — | not on both |
| Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals | 53% | — | 53% | not on both |
| Both Teams to Score | 52.5% | 52.5% | — | not on both |
| Real Madrid CF (-1.5) | 52.5% | 52.5% | — | not on both |
| Real Madrid CF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 51.5% | 51.5% | — | not on both |
| Real Madrid CF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| Real Madrid CF 2nd Half (-1.5) | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Real Madrid CF 2nd Half (-2.5) | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Real Madrid CF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Real Madrid CF (-5.5) | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Valencia CF 1st Half (-1.5) | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Valencia CF 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Valencia CF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Valencia CF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Valencia CF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Real Madrid CF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Valencia CF O/U 3.5 | 48.5% | 48.5% | — | not on both |
| Real Madrid CF 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 48% | 48% | — | not on both |
| Valencia CF 1st Half (-2.5) | 47.5% | 47.5% | — | not on both |
| Valencia CF 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 47.5% | 47.5% | — | not on both |
| Real Madrid CF 1st Half (-2.5) | 47% | 47% | — | not on both |
| Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5 | 46.5% | 46.5% | — | not on both |
| Valencia CF (-3.5) | 46.5% | 46.5% | — | not on both |
| Valencia CF (-4.5) | 46.5% | 46.5% | — | not on both |
| Valencia CF (-5.5) | 46.5% | 46.5% | — | not on both |
| Valencia CF 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 46.5% | 46.5% | — | not on both |
| Valencia CF 2nd Half (-1.5) | 46.5% | 46.5% | — | not on both |
| Valencia CF 2nd Half (-2.5) | 46.5% | 46.5% | — | not on both |
| Valencia CF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 46.5% | 46.5% | — | not on both |
| Valencia CF O/U 5.5 | 46.5% | 46.5% | — | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 112 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [laliga.com](https://www.laliga.com/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com), [ESPN](https://espn.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/valencia-vs-real-madrid-spread
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/lal-val-rea-2026-11-07-more-markets?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlaligaspread?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/valencia-vs-real-madrid-spread

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.