# Vermont margin of victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Vermont margin of victory". Balint, 29+ pts leads at 94.2%. Next is Balint, 32+ pts at 82%. $1K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:06:00Z (5 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Balint, 29+ pts | 94.2% | 94.2% |
| Balint, 32+ pts | 82% | 82% |
| Balint, 35+ pts | 67% | 67% |
| Balint, 26+ pts | 50.9% | 50.9% |
| Balint, 47+ pts | 50% | 50% |
| Balint, 38+ pts | 49% | 49% |
| Balint, 44+ pts | 27% | 27% |
| Balint, 50+ pts | 5.7% | 5.7% |
| Balint, 41+ pts | 2% | 2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Vermont Secretary of State](https://sos.vermont.gov).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/vermont-margin-of-victory
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/vermont-margin-of-victory

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.