# W15 Maanshan: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Anna Yang: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "W15 Maanshan: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Anna Yang". Yamazaki leads at 67.8%. Next is Set Handicap: Anna Yang (-1.5) vs Ikumi Yamazaki (+1.5) at 50%. $3K has traded across 4 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 13, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T19:46:03Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 13, 2026
- Volume traded: $3K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Yamazaki | 67.8% | 67% | 70% | 3.0 pts |
| Set Handicap: Anna Yang (-1.5) vs Ikumi Yamazaki (+1.5) | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Set Handicap: Ikumi Yamazaki (-1.5) vs Anna Yang (+1.5) | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Anna Yang | 32% | — | 32% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [itftennis.com](https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [ITF](https://www.itftennis.com/en/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ikumi Yamazaki and Anna Yang in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 10:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Ikumi Yamazaki' if Ikumi Yamazaki advances against Anna Yang.

This market will resolve to 'Anna Yang' if Anna Yang advances against Ikumi Yamazaki.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/w15-maanshan-ikumi-yamazaki-vs-anna-yang
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/itf-yamaza1-yang9-2026-11-06?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitfwmatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/w15-maanshan-ikumi-yamazaki-vs-anna-yang

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.