# W15 Neuquén: Victoria Bosio vs Sofia Meabe: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "W15 Neuquén: Victoria Bosio vs Sofia Meabe". Bosio leads at 77.9%. Next is Set Handicap: Sofia Meabe (-1.5) vs Victoria Bosio (+1.5) at 49.5%. $4K has traded across 4 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 12, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T12:51:00Z (2 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 12, 2026
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Bosio | 77.9% | 77.5% | 79% | 1.5 pts |
| Set Handicap: Sofia Meabe (-1.5) vs Victoria Bosio (+1.5) | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Set Handicap: Victoria Bosio (-1.5) vs Sofia Meabe (+1.5) | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Sofia Meabe | 21% | — | 21% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [itftennis.com](https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [ITF](https://www.itftennis.com/en/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Victoria Bosio and Sofia Meabe in the W15 Neuquén, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Victoria Bosio' if Victoria Bosio advances against Sofia Meabe.

This market will resolve to 'Sofia Meabe' if Sofia Meabe advances against Victoria Bosio.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/w15-neuquén-victoria-bosio-vs-sofia-meabe
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/itf-bosio2-meabe1-2026-11-05?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitfwmatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/w15-neuquén-victoria-bosio-vs-sofia-meabe

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.