# W35 Hamamatsu: Koharu Ito vs Chia Yi Tsao: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "W35 Hamamatsu: Koharu Ito vs Chia Yi Tsao". Chia Yi Tsao leads at 89%. Next is Set Handicap: Chia Yi Tsao (-1.5) vs Koharu Ito (+1.5) at 49.5%. $26K has traded across 4 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 13, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-06T02:26:03Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 13, 2026
- Volume traded: $26K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Chia Yi Tsao | 89% | — | 89% | not on both |
| Set Handicap: Chia Yi Tsao (-1.5) vs Koharu Ito (+1.5) | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Set Handicap: Koharu Ito (-1.5) vs Chia Yi Tsao (+1.5) | 42% | 42% | — | not on both |
| Ito | 10.4% | 8.5% | 11% | 2.5 pts |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [itftennis.com](https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [ITF](https://www.itftennis.com/en/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Koharu Ito and Chia Yi Tsao in the W35 Hamamatsu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Koharu Ito' if Koharu Ito advances against Chia Yi Tsao.

This market will resolve to 'Chia Yi Tsao' if Chia Yi Tsao advances against Koharu Ito.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/w35-hamamatsu-koharu-ito-vs-chia-yi-tsao
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/itf-ito4-tsao1-2026-11-06?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitfwmatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/w35-hamamatsu-koharu-ito-vs-chia-yi-tsao

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.