# WA-03 House election: Marie Gluesenkamp Perez vote percent: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "WA-03 House election: Marie Gluesenkamp Perez vote percent". At least 46% leads at 99%. Next is At least 48% at 98%. $2K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T00:42:00Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| At least 46% | 99% | 99% |
| At least 48% | 98% | 98% |
| At least 50% | 91% | 91% |
| At least 52% | 80% | 80% |
| At least 53% | 70% | 70% |
| At least 54% | 67% | 67% |
| At least 55% | 55% | 55% |
| At least 56% | 34% | 34% |
| At least 58% | 8.5% | 8.5% |
| At least 60% | 4% | 4% |
| At least 62% | 1.5% | 1.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Elections Division, Office of the Secretary of State, Olympia, WA](https://www.sos.wa.gov/elections/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/wa-03-house-election-marie-gluesenkamp-perez-vote-percent
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/wa-03-house-election-marie-gluesenkamp-perez-vote-percent

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.