# Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Johnny Walker: Round of Victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Johnny Walker: Round of Victory". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 86.5%. Next is Ends before Round 5? at 74%. $23K has traded across 38 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-07T21:17:03Z (6 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 22, 2026
- Volume traded: $23K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 86.5% | 86.5% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 5? | 74% | 74% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 66.5% | 66.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 66.5% | 66.5% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 4? | 64% | 64% | — | not on both |
| Cortes Acosta to win by KO/TKO? | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 3? | 48% | 48% | — | not on both |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 43.5% | 43.5% | — | not on both |
| Johnny Walker vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta | 33.5% | 33.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 31.5% | 31.5% | — | not on both |
| Decision / Draw / No Contest | 29% | — | 29% | not on both |
| Waldo Cortes-Acosta to win in Round 1 | 28% | — | 28% | not on both |
| Ends before Round 2? | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 24% | 24% | — | not on both |
| Decision or Draw | 22.5% | 22.5% | — | not on both |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 22.5% | 22.5% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by decision? | 22.5% | 22.5% | — | not on both |
| Waldo Cortes-Acosta to win in Round 2 | 21% | — | 21% | not on both |
| Walker to win by KO/TKO? | 19% | 19% | — | not on both |
| Cortes Acosta in Round 1 | 17.5% | 17.5% | — | not on both |
| Johnny Walker to win in Round 1 | 17% | — | 17% | not on both |
| Cortes Acosta in Round 2 | 15.5% | 15.5% | — | not on both |
| Johnny Walker to win in Round 2 | 12% | — | 12% | not on both |
| Waldo Cortes-Acosta to win in Round 3 | 12% | — | 12% | not on both |
| Cortes Acosta in Round 3 | 10.5% | 10.5% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by submission? | 10.5% | 10.5% | — | not on both |
| Waldo Cortes-Acosta to win in Round 4 | 10% | — | 10% | not on both |
| Walker in Round 1 | 8.5% | 8.5% | — | not on both |
| Walker in Round 2 | 7% | 7% | — | not on both |
| Cortes Acosta in Round 4 | 6% | 6% | — | not on both |
| Johnny Walker to win in Round 3 | 6% | — | 6% | not on both |
| Johnny Walker to win in Round 4 | 6% | — | 6% | not on both |
| Walker in Round 3 | 6% | 6% | — | not on both |
| Cortes Acosta in Round 5 | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| Johnny Walker to win in Round 5 | 4.5% | — | 4.5% | not on both |
| Waldo Cortes-Acosta to win in Round 5 | 4.5% | — | 4.5% | not on both |
| Walker in Round 4 | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| Walker in Round 5 | 3.1% | 3.1% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [ufc.com](https://www.ufc.com/events).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com), [Paramount+](https://www.paramountplus.com/home/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/waldo-cortes-acosta-vs-johnny-walker-round-of-victory
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-joh-wal2-2026-11-07?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcvicround?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/waldo-cortes-acosta-vs-johnny-walker-round-of-victory

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.