# Watanuki vs Imamura: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Watanuki vs Imamura". Watanuki leads at 83.9%. Next is Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura Set 1 Winner at 76%. $3K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 19, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T04:50:00Z (2 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 19, 2026
- Volume traded: $3K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Watanuki | 83.9% | 83.5% | 84% | 0.5 pts |
| Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura Set 1 Winner | 76% | 76% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura Set 1 Winner | 63.5% | 63.5% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura Set 1 Winner | 59% | 59% | — | not on both |
| Completed Match | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura Set 1 Winner | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura Set 1 Winner | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura Set 1 Winner | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura Set 1 Winner | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura Set 1 Winner | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura Set 1 Winner | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura Set 1 Winner | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura Set 1 Winner | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura Set 1 Winner | 36% | 36% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura Set 1 Winner | 27.5% | 27.5% | — | not on both |
| Masamichi Imamura | 17% | — | 17% | not on both |
| Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura Set 1 Winner | 9% | 9% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/watanuki-vs-imamura
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-watanuk-imamura-2026-11-03?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpchallengermatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/watanuki-vs-imamura

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.