# What companies will Trump say in November?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "What companies will Trump say in November?". Apple / AAPL leads at 99%. Next is Eli Lilly / LLY at 99%. $91K has traded across 68 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-06T01:11:03Z (50 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 1, 2026
- Volume traded: $91K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Apple / AAPL | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Eli Lilly / LLY | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Fox News | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| General Motors / GM | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Pfizer / PFE | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Uber | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| X / Twitter | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| SpaceX / SPCX | 93% | — | 93% | not on both |
| Keep America Great | 89.5% | 89.5% | — | not on both |
| Hyundai / HYMTF | 88% | — | 88% | not on both |
| Voter Fraud | 86.5% | 86.5% | — | not on both |
| Meta | 77% | — | 77% | not on both |
| MS NOW / MSNBC | 74% | — | 74% | not on both |
| Amazon / AMZN | 73% | — | 73% | not on both |
| Nvidia / NVDA | 69% | — | 69% | not on both |
| Shut Up | 68.5% | 68.5% | — | not on both |
| Clown | 64% | 64% | — | not on both |
| Chevron / CVX | 62% | — | 62% | not on both |
| Dell | 62% | — | 62% | not on both |
| TSMC / TSM | 62% | — | 62% | not on both |
| Gay | 59% | 59% | — | not on both |
| Tesla / TSLA | 58% | — | 58% | not on both |
| JPMorgan / JPM | 57% | — | 57% | not on both |
| Honda / HMC | 56% | — | 56% | not on both |
| Micron / MU | 56% | — | 56% | not on both |
| Third Term | 56% | 56% | — | not on both |
| Nazi | 54.5% | 54.5% | — | not on both |
| BBC | 54% | — | 54% | not on both |
| Artificial | 52% | 52% | — | not on both |
| Autism | 52% | 52% | — | not on both |
| Corrupt Elections | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| IBM | 51% | — | 51% | not on both |
| Refund | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Paid Protester | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Brazil | 47.5% | 47.5% | — | not on both |
| Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz | 47% | — | 47% | not on both |
| Prediction | 47% | 47% | — | not on both |
| Shark | 46.5% | 46.5% | — | not on both |
| Peace in the Middle East | 46% | 46% | — | not on both |
| Anthropic / Claude | 42% | — | 42% | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 68 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ABC](https://abcnews.go.com/), [Fox News](https://www.foxnews.com/), [MSNBC](https://www.msnbc.com/).

## Settlement rules

Kalshi event status: open

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/what-companies-will-trump-say-in-november
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-in-november-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsaycompany?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/what-companies-will-trump-say-in-november

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.