# What kind of government will Israel form?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "What kind of government will Israel form?". Minority government leads at 38.8%. Next is Minority government at 35%. $1K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 28, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-12T03:18:05Z (14 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Oct 28, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Minority government | 38.8% | 40% |
| Minority government | 35% | 36% |
| No government | 26.2% | 27% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [The Knesset](https://www.knesset.gov.il/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/what-kind-of-government-will-israel-form
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisrgovtype?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/what-kind-of-government-will-israel-form

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.