# What will AMD say during their next earnings call?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "What will AMD say during their next earnings call?". Data Center leads at 98.9%. Next is Growth 10+ times at 98.9%. $13K has traded across 27 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 4, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-03T08:50:21Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 4, 2026
- Volume traded: $13K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: ai_tech

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Data Center | 98.9% | 98.9% | — | not on both |
| Growth 10+ times | 98.9% | 98.9% | — | not on both |
| Revenue 15+ times | 97.5% | 97.5% | — | not on both |
| Helios | 97% | — | 97% | not on both |
| Inference / Inferencing | 97% | — | 97% | not on both |
| Memory / HBM | 96% | — | 96% | not on both |
| Meta | 92% | — | 92% | not on both |
| Agentic AI | 90% | — | 90% | not on both |
| CPU 20+ times | 88% | 88% | — | not on both |
| OpenAI / ChatGPT | 86% | — | 86% | not on both |
| Microsoft / Azure | 83.9% | 92.5% | 81% | 11.5 pts |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 30+ times | 79% | 79% | — | not on both |
| Healthcare | 77% | — | 77% | not on both |
| Oracle | 72.6% | 75.5% | 70% | 5.5 pts |
| China | 65.6% | 65% | 66% | 1.0 pts |
| HPC / High-Performance Computing | 65% | — | 65% | not on both |
| Frontier | 62% | — | 62% | not on both |
| Automotive / Automobile | 58% | — | 58% | not on both |
| Debt | 54.5% | 54.5% | — | not on both |
| No Qualifying Event- | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Tariff | 39% | 39% | — | not on both |
| Trump | 36.5% | 36.5% | — | not on both |
| Intel | 28.5% | 28.5% | — | not on both |
| TSMC | 20.6% | 21.5% | 20% | 1.5 pts |
| Export Restriction / Export Control | 15% | — | 15% | not on both |
| Nvidia | 9% | — | 9% | not on both |
| Dividend | 3.5% | 3.5% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Investor Events](https://ir.amd.com/news-events/ir-calendar).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of AMD currently scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/what-will-amd-say-during-their-next-earnings-call-1
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-amd-say-during-their-next-earnings-call-november-3?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxearningsmentionamd?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/what-will-amd-say-during-their-next-earnings-call-1

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.