# What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?". Defence leads at 74%. Next is Scotland at 64.5%. $4K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 12, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T22:50:03Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 12, 2026
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Defence | 74% | 74% |
| Scotland | 64.5% | 64.5% |
| Wales | 56.5% | 56.5% |
| Mr Speaker 30+ times | 56% | 56% |
| Reform | 52.5% | 52.5% |
| Immigration | 47% | 47% |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times | 42.5% | 42.5% |
| Trump | 22% | 22% |
| NHS | 13.5% | 13.5% |
| No Qualifying Event- | 5.2% | 5.2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

Andy Burnham is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andy Burnham says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens or Andy Burnham does not participate in a Prime Minister's Question Time event by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

If Andy Burnham ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Andy Burnham titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/andy-burnham/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

The resolution source will be audio/video of the events.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/what-will-andy-burnham-say-at-the-next-prime-ministers-questions-event-2
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-andy-burnham-say-at-the-next-prime-ministers-questions-event-20261104?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/what-will-andy-burnham-say-at-the-next-prime-ministers-questions-event-2

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.