# What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?". Ukraine / Ukrainian leads at 81%. Next is Defence at 72.5%. $49K has traded across 26 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 18, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:21:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 18, 2026
- Volume traded: $49K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | 81% | — | 81% | not on both |
| Defence | 72.5% | 72.5% | — | not on both |
| Energy | 65% | — | 65% | not on both |
| EU / European Union | 63% | — | 63% | not on both |
| Scotland | 62% | 62% | — | not on both |
| Mr Speaker 30+ times | 56% | 56% | — | not on both |
| Wales | 55% | 55% | — | not on both |
| Reform | 48.9% | 48.5% | 49% | 0.5 pts |
| Immigration | 48.5% | 48.5% | — | not on both |
| Benefit / Welfare | 41% | — | 41% | not on both |
| Budget | 39% | — | 39% | not on both |
| Russia / Russian | 29% | — | 29% | not on both |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Tax | 19% | — | 19% | not on both |
| Brexit | 17% | — | 17% | not on both |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 16% | — | 16% | not on both |
| NHS / Healthcare | 15% | 15% | — | not on both |
| NHS / Healthcare | 14% | — | 14% | not on both |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 13% | — | 13% | not on both |
| NATO | 13% | — | 13% | not on both |
| Immigrant / Immigration | 12% | — | 12% | not on both |
| Trump | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10% | 0.5 pts |
| Iran / Iranian | 10% | — | 10% | not on both |
| China / Chinese | 8% | — | 8% | not on both |
| No Qualifying Event- | 6.2% | 6.2% | — | not on both |
| Event does not qualify | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [UK Parliament](https://votes.parliament.uk/).

## Settlement rules

Kalshi event status: open

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/what-will-andy-burnham-say-during-prime-ministers-questions-3
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-andy-burnham-say-at-the-next-prime-ministers-questions-event-20261104?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxburnhammention?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/what-will-andy-burnham-say-during-prime-ministers-questions-3

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.