# What will Applied Optoelectronics say during their next earnings call?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "What will Applied Optoelectronics say during their next earnings call?". Qualification leads at 90%. Next is Tariff at 85%. $3K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:06:00Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Feb 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $3K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Qualification | 90% | 90% |
| Tariff | 85% | 85% |
| China / Chinese | 84% | 84% |
| CPO / Co-Packaged Optics | 82% | 82% |
| Pearland | 75% | 75% |
| Indium Phosphide | 74.5% | 74.5% |
| Quantum | 52% | 52% |
| Refund | 51% | 51% |
| Mediacom | 44% | 44% |
| Firmware | 22% | 22% |
| FCC / Federal Communications Commission | 14% | 14% |
| Innolight | 9% | 9% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Investor Events](https://investors.ao-inc.com/news-events/events-and-presentations).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/what-will-applied-optoelectronics-say-during-their-next-earnings-call
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxearningsmentionaaoi?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/what-will-applied-optoelectronics-say-during-their-next-earnings-call

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.