# What will Elon Musk say during NYT DealBook Summit?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "What will Elon Musk say during NYT DealBook Summit?". Grok leads at 66%. Next is AI / Artificial Intelligence at 62%. $14K has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 2, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T18:47:00Z (5 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 2, 2026
- Volume traded: $14K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Grok | 66% | 66% |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 62% | 62% |
| Starlink | 62% | 62% |
| Trump | 61% | 61% |
| Satellite | 59% | 59% |
| Tesla | 51% | 51% |
| Starship | 48% | 48% |
| China / Chinese | 47% | 47% |
| Optimus | 47% | 47% |
| Starbase | 43% | 43% |
| OpenAI / Altman | 42% | 42% |
| Robotaxi / Cybercab | 42% | 42% |
| Nvidia | 36% | 36% |
| Mars | 33% | 33% |
| DOGE / Department Of Government Efficiency | 30% | 30% |
| Meridian | 29% | 29% |
| Colossus | 24% | 24% |
| Event does not qualify | 7% | 7% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ABC](https://abcnews.go.com/), [Fox News](https://www.foxnews.com/), [MSNBC](https://www.msnbc.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/what-will-elon-musk-say-during-nyt-dealbook-summit
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxelonmention?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/what-will-elon-musk-say-during-nyt-dealbook-summit

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.