# What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026?". 4,100 leads at 88.5%. Next is 4,000 at 72%. $61K has traded across 14 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:20:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 1, 2026
- Volume traded: $61K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 4,100 | 88.5% | 88.5% |
| 4,000 | 72% | 72% |
| 4,200 | 56% | 56% |
| 3,900 | 47.5% | 47.5% |
| 4,300 | 32.5% | 32.5% |
| 3,800 | 25.5% | 25.5% |
| 4,400 | 18% | 18% |
| 3,700 | 11.5% | 11.5% |
| 4,500 | 8% | 8% |
| 3,600 | 7% | 7% |
| 3,500 | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| 4,600 | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| 3,400 | 2.8% | 2.8% |
| 3,300 | 1.4% | 1.4% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [pythdata.app](https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD).

## Settlement rules

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026?

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/what-will-gold-xauusd-hit-in-november-2026
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-xauusd-hit-in-november-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/what-will-gold-xauusd-hit-in-november-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.