# What will JD Vance say during NYT DealBook Summit?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "What will JD Vance say during NYT DealBook Summit?". Democrat leads at 79%. Next is Biden at 75%. $15K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 2, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:18:00Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 2, 2026
- Volume traded: $15K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Democrat | 79% | 79% |
| Biden | 75% | 75% |
| Fraud | 73% | 73% |
| Economy / Economic | 72% | 72% |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 70% | 70% |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 70% | 70% |
| Manufacture / Manufacturing | 70% | 70% |
| Working Class / Middle Class | 70% | 70% |
| Trump (3+ times) | 68% | 68% |
| Inflation | 65% | 65% |
| 2028 / Campaign | 63% | 63% |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 59% | 59% |
| Healthcare | 55% | 55% |
| Iran / Iranian | 55% | 55% |
| China / Chinese | 43% | 43% |
| Data Center | 40% | 40% |
| Tariff | 31% | 31% |
| America First | 28% | 28% |
| Nuclear | 24% | 24% |
| Event does not qualify | 4% | 4% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ABC](https://abcnews.go.com/), [Fox News](https://www.foxnews.com/), [MSNBC](https://www.msnbc.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-nyt-dealbook-summit
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-nyt-dealbook-summit

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.