# What will Kevin Warsh say during his December press conference?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "What will Kevin Warsh say during his December press conference?". Productivity leads at 90%. Next is AI / Artificial Intelligence at 81%. $6K has traded across 27 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 10, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T18:51:00Z (2 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 10, 2026
- Volume traded: $6K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Productivity | 90% | 90% |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 81% | 81% |
| Central Bank | 81% | 81% |
| Geopolitical | 76% | 76% |
| Projection | 75.5% | 75.5% |
| Balance Sheet | 74% | 74% |
| Uncertainty | 73% | 73% |
| Inflation Expectation | 72% | 72% |
| Credit | 70% | 70% |
| Independent / Independence | 70% | 70% |
| Shock | 67% | 67% |
| Anchor / Anchored | 66% | 66% |
| Oil | 66% | 66% |
| Restrictive | 50% | 50% |
| President | 49% | 49% |
| Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas | 45% | 45% |
| Family Fight / Family Feud | 44% | 44% |
| Volatility | 40% | 40% |
| Dollar | 34% | 34% |
| Japan / Japanese / Yen | 24% | 24% |
| Dissent | 20% | 20% |
| Risk Management | 15% | 15% |
| Diesel | 14% | 14% |
| Egg | 11% | 11% |
| Trump | 11% | 11% |
| Consumer Confidence | 10% | 10% |
| Event does not qualify | 6% | 6% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Federal Reserve](https://www.federalreserve.gov).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-december-press-conference
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfedmention?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-december-press-conference

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.