# What will Mark Carney say during NYT DealBook Summit?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "What will Mark Carney say during NYT DealBook Summit?". Tariff leads at 72%. Next is Defense / Defence at 71%. $1K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 2, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-10T14:43:05Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 2, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Tariff | 72% | 72% |
| Defense / Defence | 71% | 71% |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 68% | 68% |
| Arctic | 56% | 56% |
| Rare Earth / Mineral | 56% | 56% |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 54% | 54% |
| NATO | 52% | 52% |
| China / Chinese | 49% | 49% |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 47% | 47% |
| USMCA / CUSMA | 45% | 45% |
| Pipeline | 25.5% | 25.5% |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | 24% | 24% |
| Lumber | 23% | 23% |
| Trump (3+ times) | 20.5% | 20.5% |
| 51st State | 17% | 17% |
| Event does not qualify | 13% | 13% |
| Nuclear | 10.5% | 10.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ABC](https://abcnews.go.com/), [Fox News](https://www.foxnews.com/), [MSNBC](https://www.msnbc.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/what-will-mark-carney-say-during-nyt-dealbook-summit
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcarneymention?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/what-will-mark-carney-say-during-nyt-dealbook-summit

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.