# What will Palmer Luckey say during NYT DealBook Summit?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "What will Palmer Luckey say during NYT DealBook Summit?". China / Chinese leads at 89%. Next is Autonomous / Autonomy at 78%. $3K has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 2, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:21:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 2, 2026
- Volume traded: $3K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| China / Chinese | 89% | 89% |
| Autonomous / Autonomy | 78% | 78% |
| Manufacture / Manufacturing | 71% | 71% |
| Drone | 70% | 70% |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 56% | 56% |
| Submarine | 56% | 56% |
| Meridian | 47% | 47% |
| Trump (3+ times) | 46% | 46% |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | 46% | 46% |
| Oculus | 44% | 44% |
| Iran / Iranian | 42% | 42% |
| Taiwan | 41% | 41% |
| Arsenal | 38% | 38% |
| Lattice | 37% | 37% |
| Pentagon | 35% | 35% |
| IPO | 25% | 25% |
| Meta | 22% | 22% |
| Event does not qualify | 1% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ABC](https://abcnews.go.com/), [Fox News](https://www.foxnews.com/), [MSNBC](https://www.msnbc.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/what-will-palmer-luckey-say-during-nyt-dealbook-summit
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxluckeymention?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/what-will-palmer-luckey-say-during-nyt-dealbook-summit

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.