# What will Satya Nadella say during NYT DealBook Summit?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "What will Satya Nadella say during NYT DealBook Summit?". Agent / Agentic leads at 66%. Next is Copilot at 65.5%. $1K has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 2, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:25:00Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 2, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Agent / Agentic | 66% | 66% |
| Copilot | 65.5% | 65.5% |
| Token | 56% | 56% |
| Data Center | 55% | 55% |
| Security | 54% | 54% |
| Azure | 48% | 48% |
| Cloud | 46% | 46% |
| Compute | 45% | 45% |
| GitHub | 44% | 44% |
| OpenAI | 42% | 42% |
| AGI | 38% | 38% |
| Cowork | 33% | 33% |
| Anthropic / Claude | 30.5% | 30.5% |
| Containment | 28% | 28% |
| Google / Gemini | 22.5% | 22.5% |
| ROI / Return On Investment | 22.5% | 22.5% |
| Event does not qualify | 10% | 10% |
| Nuclear | 10% | 10% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ABC](https://abcnews.go.com/), [Fox News](https://www.foxnews.com/), [MSNBC](https://www.msnbc.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/what-will-satya-nadella-say-during-nyt-dealbook-summit
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnadellamention?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/what-will-satya-nadella-say-during-nyt-dealbook-summit

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.