# What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?". Cybercab leads at 90%. Next is Terafab at 90%. $1K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Apr 27, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T02:08:40Z (17 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Apr 27, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: ai_tech

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Cybercab | 90% | 90% |
| Terafab | 90% | 90% |
| Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation | 89% | 89% |
| Solar | 89% | 89% |
| SpaceX / xAI | 86% | 86% |
| Roadster | 85% | 85% |
| China | 83% | 83% |
| Semi | 82% | 82% |
| Competition | 81.5% | 81.5% |
| Tariff | 81% | 81% |
| Megapack 3 | 80% | 80% |
| Cybertruck | 70% | 70% |
| Merge / Merger | 69% | 69% |
| Samsung | 41% | 41% |
| Grok (3+ times) | 37% | 37% |
| Supercharger / Super Charger | 35% | 35% |
| Miami | 28% | 28% |
| Intel | 23% | 23% |
| Gigafactory | 20% | 20% |
| Waymo | 16% | 16% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Tesla, Inc. Investor Events](https://ir.tesla.com/#quarterly-disclosure).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/what-will-tesla-say-during-their-next-earnings-call-3
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxearningsmentiontsla?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/what-will-tesla-say-during-their-next-earnings-call-3

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.