# What will the median home value in the Dallas Metro area be on December 31?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "What will the median home value in the Dallas Metro area be on December 31?". 383K - $387K leads at 33%. Next is 387K - $391K at 30%. $2K has traded across 7 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 11, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T00:39:00Z (4 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 11, 2027
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 383K - $387K | 33% | 33% |
| 387K - $391K | 30% | 30% |
| 379K - $383K | 28.5% | 28.5% |
| 379K | 28% | 28% |
| 391K - $395K | 23.5% | 23.5% |
| 399K+ | 23% | 23% |
| 395K - $399K | 21% | 21% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Dallas, Texas Metro area on December 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Dallas, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2899734). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000 square feet, which is the median home size in the Dallas, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/64)

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-dallas-metro-area-be-on-december-31
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-dallas-metro-area-be-on-december-31?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-dallas-metro-area-be-on-december-31

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.