# What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?". Ballot leads at 99%. Next is Dow at 99%. $62K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 18, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T23:55:00Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 18, 2026
- Volume traded: $62K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Ballot | 99% | 99% |
| Dow | 99% | 99% |
| Flood / Flooding | 99% | 99% |
| Helicopter | 99% | 99% |
| Iowa / Kansas | 99% | 99% |
| Iran / Iranian | 99% | 99% |
| Midterm | 99% | 99% |
| NFL / Football | 99% | 99% |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 99% | 99% |
| Poll / Polling | 99% | 99% |
| Talarico | 99% | 99% |
| Trump (5+ times) | 99% | 99% |
| ICE | 6% | 6% |
| Bird Flu | 1% | 1% |
| Blue Wave | 1% | 1% |
| FAA / NTSB | 1% | 1% |
| Subpoena / Lawyer | 1% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ABC](https://abcnews.go.com/), [Fox News](https://www.foxnews.com/), [MSNBC](https://www.msnbc.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/what-will-the-reporters-say-during-abc-world-news-tonight-17
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxworldnewsmention?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/what-will-the-reporters-say-during-abc-world-news-tonight-17

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.