# What will Trump say during his remarks at the UP Summit?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "What will Trump say during his remarks at the UP Summit?". Moon leads at 66%. Next is Space Force at 64%. $2K has traded across 27 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 20, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T23:54:00Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 20, 2026
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Moon | 66% | 66% |
| Space Force | 64% | 64% |
| Nuclear | 62% | 62% |
| Golden Age | 59% | 59% |
| Tariff | 56% | 56% |
| China / Chinese | 54% | 54% |
| Iran (3+ times) | 50% | 50% |
| Manufacture / Manufacturing | 45% | 45% |
| Drone | 44% | 44% |
| Stock Market | 41.5% | 41.5% |
| Elon / Musk | 41% | 41% |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 40% | 40% |
| Made in America / American Made | 40% | 40% |
| National Security | 40% | 40% |
| Data Center | 38% | 38% |
| Mars | 38% | 38% |
| Chip / Semiconductor | 37% | 37% |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | 34% | 34% |
| Tesla / SpaceX | 33% | 33% |
| OpenAI / ChatGPT | 23% | 23% |
| Golden Dome | 21% | 21% |
| Taiwan | 20% | 20% |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | 17% | 17% |
| Autonomous / Autonomy | 13% | 13% |
| Quantum | 10% | 10% |
| Nvidia | 5% | 5% |
| Event does not qualify | 4% | 4% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ABC](https://abcnews.go.com/), [Fox News](https://www.foxnews.com/), [MSNBC](https://www.msnbc.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/what-will-trump-say-during-his-remarks-at-the-up-summit
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/what-will-trump-say-during-his-remarks-at-the-up-summit

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.