# What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?". Above 4.0 million barrels/day leads at 86%. Next is 85 at 74.5%. $1.1M has traded across 25 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:23:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 1, 2026
- Volume traded: $1.1M
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Above 4.0 million barrels/day | 86% | — | 86% | not on both |
| 85 | 74.5% | 74.5% | — | not on both |
| 95 | 61% | 61% | — | not on both |
| 80 | 48% | 48% | — | not on both |
| Above 4.5 million barrels/day | 41% | — | 41% | not on both |
| 100 | 33.5% | 33.5% | — | not on both |
| 75 | 25.5% | 25.5% | — | not on both |
| 105 | 25.5% | 25.5% | — | not on both |
| Above 5.5 million barrels/day | 16% | — | 16% | not on both |
| 110 | 13.5% | 13.5% | — | not on both |
| Above 5.0 million barrels/day | 12% | — | 12% | not on both |
| 115 | 11.5% | 11.5% | — | not on both |
| 70 | 9% | 9% | — | not on both |
| 120 | 8% | 8% | — | not on both |
| 125 | 6% | 6% | — | not on both |
| Above 6.0 million barrels/day | 6% | — | 6% | not on both |
| 130 | 3.7% | 3.7% | — | not on both |
| 65 | 3.1% | 3.1% | — | not on both |
| 140 | 2.2% | 2.2% | — | not on both |
| 60 | 1.9% | 1.9% | — | not on both |
| 150 | 1.8% | 1.8% | — | not on both |
| 160 | 1% | 1% | — | not on both |
| 40 | 0.9% | 0.9% | — | not on both |
| 50 | 0.6% | 0.6% | — | not on both |
| 30 | 0.4% | 0.4% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [app.pyth.com](https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=CLL).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [U.S. Energy Information Administration](https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?f=M&n=PET&s=MCREXUS2).

## Settlement rules

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/what-will-wti-crude-oil-wti-hit-in-november-2026
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-wti-hit-in-november-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxeiacrudexpm?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/what-will-wti-crude-oil-wti-hit-in-november-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.