# When will AI score above 185 on Epoch Capabilities Index?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "When will AI score above 185 on Epoch Capabilities Index?". Before Jul 1, 2027 leads at 90%. Next is Before Apr 1, 2027 at 78%. $4K has traded across 5 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T07:10:40Z (9 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jul 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: ai_tech

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 90% | 90% |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 78% | 78% |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 57% | 57% |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 45% | 45% |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 18% | 18% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Epoch AI](https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/when-will-ai-score-above-185-on-epoch-capabilities-index
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxepochscore?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/when-will-ai-score-above-185-on-epoch-capabilities-index

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.