# When will Anthropic release Opus 5.6?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "When will Anthropic release Opus 5.6?". Before Jan 1, 2027 leads at 89%. Next is Before Dec 16, 2026 at 71%. $1K has traded across 4 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-12T22:44:25Z (17 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: ai_tech

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 89% | 89% |
| Before Dec 16, 2026 | 71% | 71% |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 39% | 39% |
| Before Nov 16, 2026 | 13% | 13% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Anthropic](https://www.anthropic.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/when-will-anthropic-release-opus-56
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclaude?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/when-will-anthropic-release-opus-56

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.