# When will Ferrari deliver the Ferrari Luce?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "When will Ferrari deliver the Ferrari Luce?". Before Jun 1, 2027 leads at 90%. Next is Before Apr 1, 2027 at 89%. $2K has traded across 7 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:01:00Z (3 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jun 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | 90% | 90% |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 89% | 89% |
| Before May 1, 2027 | 89% | 89% |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 85% | 85% |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 85% | 85% |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 76% | 76% |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 63% | 63% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [the Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR database](http://www.sec.gov/), [Fox Business](https://www.foxbusiness.com/), [ABC](https://abcnews.go.com/).

## Settlement rules

Kalshi event status: open

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/when-will-ferrari-deliver-the-ferrari-luce
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlucedelivery?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/when-will-ferrari-deliver-the-ferrari-luce

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.