# When will Texas enact a state income tax?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "When will Texas enact a state income tax?". Before 2030 leads at 26%. Next is Before 2029 at 12.5%. $4K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2030.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-06T06:45:00Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2030
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before 2030 | 26% | 26% |
| Before 2029 | 12.5% | 12.5% |
| Before 2028 | 8% | 8% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Texas Legislature](https://capitol.texas.gov), [Texas Secretary of State](https://www.sos.state.tx.us).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/when-will-texas-enact-a-state-income-tax
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtxincometax?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/when-will-texas-enact-a-state-income-tax

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.